More Data Needed: Why has lockdown not worked better?

We are now weeks into lockdown, and in general I think concensus is that most people are adhering to it. Yet if we genuinely are only going out for food, medicine and exercise, we should have seen a major drop after lockdown was in force. This hasn't happened, although the number of cases has slowed slightly.
The Scottish government should be praised for its transparency - but here I think we need more data to understand. what is happening. Has the government been looking for data on how these new cases since lockdown happened? For example are they from supermarket shopping? from hospitals? from people who were not adhering to lockdown? from people coming into Scotland? If we are not looking for this data we should be, since it will enable us to focus attention on the problems.

Why the contribution is important

It is essential to understand why the lockdown has not worked better, so we can focus on correcting this. When combined with testing and tracking, it has the potential to get on top of the spread.

by SusanKruse on May 07, 2020 at 06:02PM

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Comments

  • Posted by cj2000bb May 07, 2020 at 18:40

    Probably from some of my neighbours who seem to have no clue about what the lockdown rules are, with no actual enforcement from Police Scotland - the message from government needs to focus more on households not mixing, people do not seem to get that if soemone if daft enough to visit you and sit in your garden with you, they are probably doing the same with all their other friends and will then be surprised when soemone gets an infection.

  • Posted by John1911 May 07, 2020 at 20:02

    Given that we heard today that we're behind England in the progression of infections, how did Scotland get so many cases, given that we should have entered lockdown with fewer infections per capita.

    And given that we entered lockdown at the same time, why haven't we seen a rate of decline like London's? That would suggest we're just not as good at moderating our behaviour as the folk down south.

    I suspect that it's not working as well as hoped because the infectiousness is actually worse than anticipated, but the vast majority of people just do not know they've had it. That's based on news from Sweden where they have shown 98% didn't know/had super mild symptoms.

  • Posted by emwpaisley May 07, 2020 at 21:40

    Could it be the increase is in confined units ie nursing homes where there was no testing when releasing hospital patients back into that community coupled with no PPE - ie a hotbed for increased infections
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