R guesswork

Remove the guesswork from calculating the R number. Implement quality track and trace instead of relying on hospital admissions. Extensive testing is required to understand who has contracted the virus irrespective of severity of symptoms.

Why the contribution is important

Without knowledge of population affected it is not possible to predict impact of secondary waves. How the relaxation of restrictions affects spread is required to know when to lift/impose restrictions.

by AnneEdinburgh on May 10, 2020 at 11:17PM

Current Rating

Average rating: 4.6
Based on: 5 votes

Comments

  • Posted by Marmaz May 11, 2020 at 08:40

    Agree. Scotland has little idea what the r score is.
  • Posted by AlJones May 11, 2020 at 09:08

    Find it very hard to believe our r number is higher than England’s as it would appear we went in to lockdown earlier. As scientists say, it is only based on areas where there is a strong presence of the virus and people have been tested. The virus had been to many rural and remote locations and no testing has been done so our data may not be included in the generation of the r number.
  • Posted by Confused May 11, 2020 at 09:35

    Good comment the R number has to be more accurate with a degree of tolerance no greater than 0.1 but the only way you can do this is by a massive ramping up of testing no evidence that this is going to happen.
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