Second wave

One of the advantages of Sweden’s refusal to impose restrictions is they may reach the herd immunity automatically as the entire population has been exposed. A second wave of the virus may not have an impact there, whereas in Scotland by cotton wooling most of the population if there is any recurrence we are as vulnerable once again. The Swedes may be paying a higher price than their Scandinavian neighbours but will be able to take any second wave in their stride.
It is also possible that Coronavirus has a certain level of infection and only affects a certain percentage of the population. The graph of infection seems to be very similar in most countries of the world, whether or not they impose lockdown, and whatever level of wealth or overcrowding.A very general rule of thumb seems to be you have a one in 500 chance of catching the virus followed by a one in 5000 chance of dying.Simplistic I know but search the world countries statistics and it does seem to be reasonable.

Why the contribution is important

The so called experts and professional scientists have been guessing all along , without any justification and have failed to answer the clear contradictions of Sweden and the more extreme Belarus. If the Coronavirus is as virulent as the experts claim why are tens of thousands of Swedes not dying in the streets.
We will enter economic Armageddon with many more resultant deaths.It has been estimated that 135 million people in the world may die through the resultant disease, malnutrition and social unrest. The Swedish economy may reduce by 0.4%. The UKs by 14%. Coronavirus is not the Black Death, it’s not even Spanish flu. We should stop treating it like it is

by jamesduke on May 10, 2020 at 08:54AM

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Comments

  • Posted by AlJones May 10, 2020 at 10:11

    A leading Swedish epidemiologist commented that the difference between the rate of Swedish deaths, as compared to Norwegian deaths, was to do with the size of care homes. Smaller care homes, with care homes bring a high-risk environment, do not spread the virus to as many.

  • Posted by GJBB May 10, 2020 at 10:31

    Your stats are way out. So far over 1% of Scottish population (71000) have tested positive and 2795 deaths in Scotland have been attributed to covid19. This is a risk of already having died from covid of 1 in1950 and we are far from knowing the final death total.

  • Posted by MikeJohnston May 10, 2020 at 11:13

    Sorry, you are suggesting that there is an acceptable level of death.
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