the importance of R number and testing
Not really and idea, more of an observation. The R number will vary across Scotland and will be higher in hot spots. By testing key workers or hospital admissions only the number of infections will surely be higher eg in Care homes. Why have there been limited (if any?) tests carried out across the population, sampling randomly? By building up a picture across the country the base rate of infection would then be established. Actual but random numbers are surely more reliable when calculating R0
Why the contribution is important
Establishing a more reliable R0 to aid decisions regarding lock down easing.
by eesupcarefully on May 08, 2020 at 03:51PM
Posted by CWIL May 08, 2020 at 16:01
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Posted by Graham May 08, 2020 at 16:17
The R number is a local number not a national one - the R number increase in the centre of Glasgow is going to be greater than that in areas of population density, where greater control is possible. Just like exploding a bomb.
But no one really knows the facts about this bomb.
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Posted by Chimp May 08, 2020 at 16:50
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Posted by DevVeh May 08, 2020 at 17:01
There just isnt enough testing, even just to cover the NHS workers. And to have decent sized sample in an area we would need to test a reasonable amount of people. I dont see how that is possible with current levels of testing
We just need more testing full stop
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Posted by TL May 08, 2020 at 19:44
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