Where do we expect to be in 1year

It is unlikely there will be mass vaccination within a year. Does the government anticipate controlled development of herd immunity to develop or indefinite lockdown?

Why the contribution is important

We deserve to understand the government longterm strategy.

by GJBB on May 10, 2020 at 09:54PM

Current Rating

Average rating: 4.4
Based on: 14 votes

Comments

  • Posted by petermuir79 May 10, 2020 at 22:48

    I think the simple answer is...they dont know.

    But what we do know is we cannot live in limbo lockdown for 6 weeks, 6 months or 6 years.

    We need to end the lockdown now

  • Posted by scotjs May 10, 2020 at 23:12

    Nobody knows.

    I don't expect the government to know something like that.

    Improvising is key. And the government deserves the right to improvise and not make promises it knows it might not be able to keep depending on how the situation develops. This is an "as it develops" situation. Nobody has a crystal ball and can predict the future. The current path we're on though is definitely that of a country which is aiming towards total eradication of the virus, unlike the strategy south of the border where there is hospital capacity so they've let everyone go back to work.

  • Posted by Nm May 10, 2020 at 23:15

    Hopefully govt will be going New Zealand style towards elimination!!

  • Posted by jeankemp May 10, 2020 at 23:30

    In the next couple of weeks I would expect the Government to have set up a programme of SERIOUS community testing (194,000 tests a day) coupled with a huge tracing initiative to match.

    The First Minister's aspiration of 15000 tests by the end of May is risible, and will only result in a long drawn out policy of continued herd immunity, sometimes called suppression, or the survival of the fittest.

    If we follow the present policy of suppression and small scale testing, the prognosis for Scotland is dire.
    come December.

    If however, we set to, like new Zealand and South Korea, and work towards elimination of the virus through ramping up testing capacity massively, and tracing assiduously, then a much brighter picture will emerge by the end of the year, and at least there will be some hope in the nation to carry on with difficult restrictions.

  • Posted by Lambertos May 10, 2020 at 23:50

    Hopefully somewhere else given this Government's approach

  • Posted by AJ71 May 11, 2020 at 00:10

    Herd immunity results in people dying so test, trace and isolate combined with better policed social distancing until a vaccine is available

  • Posted by carerbear May 11, 2020 at 02:29

    Absolutely agree. It will be impossible to live like this much longer.

  • Posted by GHeg May 11, 2020 at 08:16

    Same as we are at the moment, stuck in lockdown!!! Can't see how either the UK or Scottish Government is going to get us out of this, neither has a credible plan!

  • Posted by Marmaz May 11, 2020 at 09:10

    The vaccine could take 2 years. We don’t have the fob cash to keep this going. The Scot gov is completely reliant on the U.K. gov to fund furlough etc etc. We have no choice but to get the economy going in June or else millions of jobs will be lost with disaster following that

  • Posted by MikeJohnston May 11, 2020 at 10:43

    Please see my idea: What is the acceptable level of death?
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